Analytical Outputs
Bayesian Belief Networks: Probability Estimates for Three Hypotheses
TLDR Bayesian Belief Networks translated three qualitative ACH matrices into formal probability estimates: Spoliation P=0.90, Willful Blindness P=0.77, and...
Analytical Outputs
9 investigations
Analytical Outputs
53 Leads Under Management: The Lead Queue State Machine
TLDR A finite state machine manages 53 deduplicated leads drawn from three sources: 20 from cross-domain synthesis, 33 from anomaly-driven convergence, and 2...
Analytical Outputs
Three Tiers of Narrative: FRE 1006 Litigation-Ready Products
TLDR The synthesis engine generates three tiers of narrative product -- executive summary, evidentiary chronology, and methodology disclosure -- totaling...
Analytical Outputs
The Accountability Matrix
TLDR The institutional forensics script's accountability matrix assigns risk-adjusted complicity tiers to every entity in the Epstein network using but-for...
Analytical Outputs
33 Static Edges Plus Wire Flows
TLDR The ownership graph built by the institutional forensics script contains exactly 33 static edges (fixed connections) representing verified corporate...
Analytical Outputs
Seven Categories of Willful Blindness
TLDR The institutional forensics script classifies institutional compliance failures into seven distinct linguistic marker categories using full-text search...
Analytical Outputs
Evidence Chains and Compound Confidence
TLDR Evidence chains formalized using Wigmore and Toulmin notation — a formal method for mapping chains of evidence, showing how each piece of proof connects...
Analytical Outputs
The Granger Causality Test
TLDR The institutional forensics script's Granger causality module — which applies a statistical test that checks whether one type of event reliably happens...
Analytical Outputs
Three Structured Comparison Tables
TLDR The cross-domain synthesis script generates three Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) tables — structured comparison tables that pit competing...