Methodology
5,000 Iterations: Why Monte Carlo Confirms the Conclusions
TLDR A Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 iterations with eight Beta-distributed parameters to test whether the project's conclusions change under parameter...
Methodology
6 investigations
Methodology
Error Disclosure: What Compound Error Ceilings Mean for Every Conclusion
TLDR Eight pipeline stages contribute measured error rates that compound to a worst-case correct rate of 8.4%, meaning any conclusion that passes through every...
Methodology
External Corroboration: How Six Agents Verified the Corpus
TLDR Six parallel research agents independently verified corpus findings against public registries, FAA records, and court filings (PAPER TRAIL Project,...
Methodology
519K Splink Clusters: Turning 2.38 Million Fragments Into One Namespace
TLDR Probabilistic entity resolution using a statistical matching method reduced 2.38 million raw Named Entity Recognition entries to 519,000 unified clusters...
Methodology
Daubert Admissibility: Building a Pipeline for the Courtroom
TLDR Every analytical method in the pipeline was selected to satisfy the legal standard courts use to decide whether scientific evidence is admissible --...
Methodology
9 Leads and 3 ACH Matrices: What Cross-Domain Synthesis Actually Found
TLDR Cross-domain synthesis across 232,000 events produced nine investigative leads and zero confirmed findings -- every lead fell below the 0.75 confidence...