Analytical Outputs
Bayesian Belief Networks: Probability Estimates for Three Hypotheses
TLDR Bayesian Belief Networks translated three qualitative ACH matrices into formal probability estimates: Spoliation P=0.90, Willful Blindness P=0.77, and...
#spoliation
4 investigations
Technical Deep Dives
Detecting Missing Documents With a World War II Statistical Method
TLDR A World War II-era statistical method for estimating how many items exist based on the serial numbers you have seen (known as the German Tank Problem) is...
Analytical Outputs
Three Structured Comparison Tables
TLDR The cross-domain synthesis script generates three Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) tables — structured comparison tables that pit competing...
Methodology
9 Leads and 3 ACH Matrices: What Cross-Domain Synthesis Actually Found
TLDR Cross-domain synthesis across 232,000 events produced nine investigative leads and zero confirmed findings -- every lead fell below the 0.75 confidence...