Analytical Outputs
Bayesian Belief Networks: Probability Estimates for Three Hypotheses
TLDR Bayesian Belief Networks translated three qualitative ACH matrices into formal probability estimates: Spoliation P=0.90, Willful Blindness P=0.77, and...
#willful blindness
6 investigations
Document Deep Dives
The Approval Email: May 5, 2013
TLDR On May 5, 2013, a single email from a Deutsche Bank executive claimed that the Head of Anti-Money Laundering (AML) Compliance had approved the Epstein...
Financial Forensics
Willful Blindness: $150 Million
TLDR The New York Department of Financial Services fined Deutsche Bank $150 million for systemic anti-money laundering failures in the Epstein relationship. A...
Analytical Outputs
Seven Categories of Willful Blindness
TLDR The institutional forensics script classifies institutional compliance failures into seven distinct linguistic marker categories using full-text search...
Analytical Outputs
Three Structured Comparison Tables
TLDR The cross-domain synthesis script generates three Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) tables — structured comparison tables that pit competing...
Methodology
9 Leads and 3 ACH Matrices: What Cross-Domain Synthesis Actually Found
TLDR Cross-domain synthesis across 232,000 events produced nine investigative leads and zero confirmed findings -- every lead fell below the 0.75 confidence...